The First-Half Betting System – Part One
The First-Half Betting System
One thing I try as much to avoid –
except of course its a really good value bet – is staking on the 1 x 2 face
value of a match. This is of course the most popular. People stake on Home team
to win, draw or away win. The more common and most definitely absurd one is
seeing someone accumulate 18 matches of home wins, draws and away wins
expecting to win millions. You could as well just give the bookies your money
directly instead of betting. I mean, common, the odds are stacked up
against you for one match let alone 18!!! I have seen quite a few peeps get
pretty darn lucky with bets like this and scoop in some real good cash. But it
rarely happens. You are most likely bound to lose. A friend of mine of recent
told me how he had been accumulating 12 matches with a stake of N1000
every friday and saturday for the past one year without success. I’m
hardly surprised.
Well for me, I dig deeper. The
bookies are always at an advantage. What a Pro Punter aims for is to reduce that advantage as much as possible
and create and almost equal playing ground for him and the bookie. He aims to
do this combining so much statistical data and information to enable him make a
much more informed decision.
Today I want to share with you guys
the first part of the series. The First-Half Betting System.
I will cover the over 0.5 goals in
first-half technique in this part.
What
does the Over 0.5 goals in First-Half mean?
Simple. It just requires that any of
the two teams playing score just one goal in the first half. It doesn’t matter
who scores the goal. Home or Away. So as long as the first half does not end
without goals you win.
Digging
Deeper – How this Technique works.
Its really simple and basic system,
really.
Spotting the fixtures or matches to
use this system on is easy also.
I will divide it into two
categories.
- The 1.7 or 1.75 Odds Fixture.
- Any other Odds Fixture.
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Let’s treat the first one.
P.S This system works better on the major leagues. EPL, La Liga,
Seria A, French league, Bundesliga. It also works on the England Championship,
League one, League two e.t.c
The
1.7 or 1.75 Odds Fixture
As you can see, The macth between
Manchester United and Southampton as the Home team with Odds of 1.75.
So If you spot the Home or Away team
with odds of 1.7 or 1.75, it means the fixture just passed through stage one of
the system. More often than not, the odds for over 0.5 goals in first half on
this type of fixtures are usually 1.4. That’s a pretty high odd for just one
goal in first half.
I will use the Manchester United
match above as an example for the graphical tutorial below. You can
follow the same steps in spotting your own matches.
I will click on Soccer >
Europe > England > Premier League.
I will then look under fixtures and
find the match.
After clicking, I see a page and
scroll down to this:
Choose the over/under 1st half
option. Then click on the 0.5 tab.
As you can see from the box
highlighted in the screenshot above, ManUtd have gone 70% over 0.5 goals in
first-half this season. That is a pass mark. Southampton on the other hand have
gone for 65% of their matches. That is a pass mark too. The reason I used
this match as an example is because if you add up the %(percentage) together 70%
+ 65% = 135%. This is the lowest that this technique can permit! So
if southampton had been 64% or ManUtd had been 69%. We would have simply
ignored the macth as it does not fit into the system.
So the rule is that the % of the two
teams when added together must be at least 135%.
P.S To be on the safer side, Always try to get higher %’s.
Sometimes I could get a match with like 160% and the odds for Over 0.5 goal in
first half is 1.5!!!
Any
other Odds Fixture.
So I hope you understood the
steps involved with this system when the odds are 1.7 or 1.75.
Now let’s take a look at the steps
to follow if the odds are otherwise.
The only difference in the steps is
you look out for a extra condition.
So let’s say for ManUtd vs
Southampton, the odds are 1.6 3.8 4.75.
Now what you would look out for is
the over 2.5 goal odds.
If the Odds for Over 2.5 goals
is 1.7 or below, Then the match qualifies. If the odd is above 1.7.
Discard the match.
So if the odds for Over 2.5 goals
was 1.6. I would then head over to betradar statistics website and
follow the exact same steps as outlined in the 1.7 or 1.75 odds fixture.
Monetize
Well, this is an issue to most
punters. They have a system but do not know how to implement it. They don’t
know whether to stake singles, or accumulate. They do not know what staking
methods to use. Well, that’s a whole broad and extensive topic for some other
day.
Discipline
This is one of the commandments a
pro-punter follows. When using a particular system you have to stick to it and
not make decisions based on your emotions. If you test and find this system
effective enough, then follow the rules. Stick to it. Don’t
assume. Use the statistics and techniques outlined.
Your
Turn
Now i have explained and covered the
part one of the series. First-Half Betting System.
Let me know what you think about
this. Do you have any ideas, suggestions? Drop it below in the comments section,
lets talk about it.by calling me 08033559733 or email:
valentineuwakwe@gmail.com.
Don’t forget to share this post to
other punters too. Let us hear what they think too.
The First-Half Betting System – Part Two
The
First-Half Betting System – Part Two
Today, I want to move deeper into
the series. There is so much information and statistical data that the bookies
have access to while compiling odds for matches. Much more that the average
punter. In other words, they know better. But that doesn’t mean they
are infallible. Because of the high number of available markets to bet on
nowadays, ranging from corner kicks to yellow and red cards, to players who
will score, e.t.c, They sometimes miss it too. Mind you, In very common
markets like 1 X 2. The data and odd compilers they have allow them to be very
accurate. But in these, what i call – smaller markets. They do
miss it at times. Surely, they will always be at an advantage of some sort. The
only market where they is an almost equal playing ground between you and the
bookies are the Live In-Play Markets. I will be starting a series on that
soon. But for now:
The First-Half Betting System – Part
Two – Taking Advantage Of The Bookies.
P.S The technique you are about to learn works across major
soccer leagues.
Beyond
The Odds
This is a match between Derby County
and Nottingham Forest.
Take a look at the odds for over 0.5
goals in first-half and under 1.5 goals in first half.
As you can see from the screenshot
above, The odds for the match going over 0.5 goals in 1st half is 1.35; while
the odds of the match going under 1.5 goals in 1st half is 1.45.
Ok. I need to be sure you are
following me here. We have said nothing too serious or technical since so i
assume you and I are both on track. Ok, let’s move on.
Now according to those odds you saw
just now. What the bookies are trying to say is that the match has a higher
possibility of going over 0.5 goals in first half, than going under 1.5 goals
in first half!
Digging
Deeper – The System Explained.
Now as you did in the part one. Let’s
head over to my favorite statistics website. (If it
returns an error message, reload it again. It will work)
Using the sample match above;
I will then click on Soccer
> Europe > England > Championship.
I will then look under fixtures and
find the match.
Choose the over/under 1st half
option. Then click on the 0.5 tab.
As you can see from the last
screenshot above, Derby has gone over 0.5 goals in first half 68% of their
matches played. Nottingham has gone for exactly the same 68%. Summing the %’s
togtether, 68 + 68 = 136%.
I will then now click on the 1.5
tab.
So what can you see now? Derby
has gone Under 1.5 goals in 1st half for 72% of their matches while Nottingham
has gone for 68%. Take the summation, 72 + 68 = 140%.
So from our statistics you can see
that I have deduced the following points.
- The summation of the Over 0.5 goals in first half odds for the fixture yielded 136%
- The summation of the Under 1.5 goals in first half odds for the fixture yielded 140%
- Its safe to say from the data that this fixture actually has a higher chance of going Under 1.5 goals in first half.
Taking
Advantage.
Remember this screenshot frrom
above?
The odds for Under 1.5 goals is
actually higher than that of Over 0.5 goals! (1.45)
So there will be more value in
staking for this match to end under 1.5 goals in first half as opposed to what
the odds or the bookies state!
Note though that if for example
someone stakes on the over 0.5 goal in first half market for this match with
N1,000, his returns will be N1,350. Meanwhile another person stakes N1,000 on
the under 1.5 goal in first half, his returns will be N1,450! and statistically
speaking; the person with the latter bet has more chances of winning the bet!
Also they could both win the bet –
If the match ends 1-0 0r 0-1 at half time. It means that both the over 0.5
goals and the under 1.5 goals won. But it come down to the point: Which
has more value?
Surely the Under 1.5 goals in first
hald market has more value on this particular fixture!
A
few examples more
So that you get a better hang of
this technique i will just summarise a couple more fixtures.
Example 1: See Fixture Below
See what the odds are saying:
On this fixture the bookies are
giving equal odds. But surely one of them must be more accurate.
Let’s see what the stats are saying.
The Over 0.5 goals in first half:
Summing %’s. 70.8 + 70.8 = 141.6%
The Under 1.5 goals in first half:
Summing %’s. 70.8 + 75 = 145.8%…
Here you go!
The odds are same according to the
bookies but digging deeper you find that the under 1.5 goals has just a
bit more value on this particular fixture.
Example 2: See Fixture below
See what the odds are saying:
Hmm… Nice odd for the over 0.5 goals
there.
Let’s see what the stats say then.
Over 0.5 goals in first half:
Summing %’s. 66.7 + 76.2 = 142.9%
Under 1.5 goals in first half:
Summing %’s. 61.9 + 52.4 = 114.3%!
Whoa!
You can see a large discrepancy
in the percentages there.
As opposed to what the odds said,
the stats are actually saying that going over 0.5 goals in this particlar
fixture is of more value. And a nice juicy odd of 1.5 accompanies that!
Monetize
Well, this is an issue to most
punters. They have a system but do not know how to implement it. They don’t
know whether to stake singles, or accumulate. They do not know what staking
methods to use. Well, that’s a whole broad and extensive topic for some other
day.
Discipline
This is one of the commandments a
pro-punter follows. When using a particular system you have to stick to it and
not make decisions based on your emotions. If you test and find this system
effective enough, then follow the rules. Stick to it. Don’t
assume. Use the statistics and techniques outlined.
Disclaimer
These systems are self-developed as
you wouldn’t find them any place else online. I cannot in any way assure or
guarantee you of 100% wins or success using any of these free systems. I just
do my best to constantly help and provide value to my fans.
Your
Turn
Now i have explained and covered the
part two of the series. First-Half Betting System.
Let me know what you think about
this. Do you have any ideas, suggestions? Drop it below in the comments
section, lets talk about it.
Don’t forget to share this post to
other punters too. Let us hear what they think too.
I hope this helps you.
To Your Success!
VALENTINE C. UWAKWE
08033559733
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